All beliefs originate from varying cores, self referential first thoughts. A common example of this is a person's religious faith, which usually goes along the lines of "I know God exists because He says He does" for instance. Far more interesting is when this principal is applied to empiricism, that unconscious building block upon which so much is built.

If you touch a flame and it burns you, empirically you have discovered that fire, having burnt you in the past, will burn you in the present and the future- that fire burns. If I were to challenge that assumption however, asking why should the rules of the past effect the future, why empiricism should apply to the future; In whatever guise, you would respond that because it always has before, you expect it to continue; you believe that empiricism will apply, because thats what empiricism tells you. Obviously then, you have an idea that has no reasoning behind it but itself, or in other words, no reason at all.

That flame could as easily strike up a conversation about gardening, and send you on an intergalactic journey to a world populated exclusively by Oompa-Loompas, as burn you. Absurd I know, but its an exercise. Quite simply, any outcome is as likely as any other, when 'rules' can change moment to moment.

This idea doesn't offer any direction, or any advice. The most I've been able to draw from it is something akin to humbleness. It really is just something to keep in mind.